Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.195391 0.230406 0.269413 0.316022 0.370131 0.430898 0.504248
2024-12-15 0.144637 0.191146 0.248595 0.324475 0.421735 0.541859 0.701085
2024-12-22 0.110235 0.159828 0.226413 0.321686 0.453731 0.629377 0.879653
2024-12-29 0.090930 0.142481 0.216669 0.330069 0.497606 0.734263 1.091654
2025-01-05 0.074522 0.125136 0.202595 0.328078 0.524093 0.815766 1.278823
2025-01-12 0.061032 0.109198 0.187169 0.320311 0.538995 0.879895 1.445710
2025-01-19 0.050301 0.095488 0.172549 0.310692 0.548271 0.934666 1.602368
2025-01-26 0.044420 0.088949 0.168525 0.317503 0.584394 1.035012 1.841768
2025-02-02 0.039202 0.082587 0.163630 0.321685 0.615878 1.130223 2.081851
2025-02-09 0.034460 0.076228 0.157632 0.322700 0.641299 1.216962 2.315486
2025-02-16 0.030846 0.071461 0.153849 0.327134 0.673122 1.317715 2.583540
2025-02-23 0.028509 0.068949 0.154089 0.339316 0.720862 1.451931 2.925642
2025-03-02 0.024577 0.062306 0.145017 0.331684 0.729372 1.514737 3.142974
2025-03-09 0.022018 0.058355 0.141103 0.334377 0.759270 1.622210 3.458347
2025-03-16 0.019297 0.053486 0.134375 0.329906 0.773412 1.699549 3.721419
2025-03-23 0.017754 0.051264 0.133352 0.338056 0.815656 1.838249 4.122707
2025-03-30 0.015795 0.047570 0.128237 0.335905 0.834551 1.929657 4.433821
2025-04-06 0.013791 0.043350 0.121145 0.327934 0.838985 1.990149 4.684332
2025-04-13 0.011973 0.039275 0.113750 0.318092 0.837649 2.037497 4.910248
2025-04-20 0.011102 0.037808 0.112985 0.325053 0.877763 2.182089 5.367137
2025-04-27 0.010209 0.036099 0.111293 0.329328 0.911673 2.315570 5.810882
2025-05-04 0.009294 0.034126 0.108549 0.330366 0.937438 2.432290 6.226256
2025-05-11 0.008588 0.032693 0.107137 0.334898 0.972822 2.575439 6.717319